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Folhas de pagamento e recessões dos EUA O crescimento da folha de pagamento dos EUA raramente cai tão baixo sem uma recessão. Ele desacelerou acentuadamente no final de 2025, mas os analistas esperam uma recuperação este ano, à medida que…
Hyperscaler Quarterly Capex Growth Hyperscalers may soon hit the brakes on capital spending, potentially hurting valuations. But in doing so, they risk ceding ground in the AI race, where fierce competition and tight supply chains… Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 15/01/2026…
Magnificent Seven Stocks – Projected Gain or Decline Over the Next 12 Months Analysts expect the Magnificent 7 to remain the main engine of S&P 500 earnings growth in 2026, with forecasts calling for solid… Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 15/01/2026…
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth The median S&P 500 company is expected to post 7% yoy EPS growth in Q4 2025, pointing to firmer earnings momentum and a brighter short‑term outlook. Image: Goldman Sachs Global… Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 15/01/2026…
U.S. Corporate Profits as % of Real GDP U.S. corporate profits are running far ahead of real economy growth, reaching the widest gap on record. History shows that such divergences rarely last once markets face… Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 15/01/2026…
Estimativas Top-Down do Crescimento do Lucro por Ação (S&P 500, STOXX 600, TOPIX, MXAPJ) Após anos de ralis alimentados por múltiplos crescentes, especialmente nos setores de tecnologia e IA, 2026 poderia ver os fundamentos assumirem a liderança. Imagem:… Fonte: Publicado…
Cash Allocation by Non-Bank Investors Globally “Cash is king” is starting to sound like a relic. Non-bank investors globally are holding less cash than at any time since at least 1999, leaving financial markets exposed… Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 14/01/2026…
Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance With faith in the macro and policy outlook brightening, risk appetite is surging among U.S. equity fund managers, who are betting on improved market returns…. Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 14/01/2026…
S&P 500 – U.S. Stock Returns Over the Past 22 Presidents Nearly a year into Trump’s presidency, the S&P 500 has surged more than 16%, shaking off tariff headwinds. Bulls are smiling, betting on robust… Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 14/01/2026…
Deviation of Earnings Above-Below Long Term Growth Trend vs. Valuations Each time earnings detach from their long-term trend, markets tend to catch up the hard way. The widening gap now signals risk building where few… Fonte: Publicado automaticamente em 14/01/2026…
